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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tennessee · #11 · SEC · 0–0Auburn · #27 · SEC · 0–0Wed, Jan 6 · 7:00 PM ETNeville Arena · Auburn, AL
Model line
Auburn −6.9
Win probability
Auburn 77%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Auburn home
24%Win probability77%

The model makes Auburn a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tennessee offense vs Auburn defense

Tennessee OStatAuburn D
67.3#231Tempo#13969.1
51.8#157eFG%#28353.5
17.4#230TOV%#21616.1
45.1#1ORB%#23731.7
38.1#100FT rate#17434.9
9.3#169Block%#5811.7
59.9#34Assist%#15451.4
52.3#1602P%#22552.7
33.8#1853P%#32336.5
69.4#290FT%—
31.8#3323PA rate#17539.6

Auburn offense vs Tennessee defense

Auburn OStatTennessee D
69.1#139Tempo#23167.3
52.3#130eFG%#3447.5
14.7#48TOV%#19816.4
37.5#11ORB%#5627.7
44.2#8FT rate#21035.9
12.6#351Block%#8011.2
46.9#304Assist%#2645.3
53.3#1142P%#6849.2
33.9#1773P%#1730.3
74.5#102FT%—
40.2#1653PA rate#3644.7

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tennessee

Sun, Mar 29NMichigan24L 62–95
Fri, Mar 27NIowa St.6W 76–62
Sun, Mar 22NVirginia14W 79–72
Fri, Mar 20NMiami OH108W 78–56
Fri, Mar 13NVanderbilt21L 68–75

Auburn

Sun, Apr 5NTulsa104W 92–86
Thu, Apr 2NIllinois St.116W 88–66
Wed, Mar 25HNevada77W 75–69
Sun, Mar 22HSeattle115W 91–85
Tue, Mar 17HSouth Alabama244W 78–67