Model line
Alabama −12.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama 91%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Alabama home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Alabama a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LSU offense vs Alabama defense
| LSU O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#164 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 52.8#110 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 15.6#111 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 33.1#88 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 40.9#51 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 8.3#74 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 52.5#180 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 54.5#73 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 33.1#223 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 76.4#43 | FT% | — |
| 34.5#286 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs LSU defense
| Alabama O | Stat | LSU D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #16468.7 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #15050.9 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #34013.9 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #24131.7 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #25637.8 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #12310.3 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #3746.3 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #8049.5 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #27335.4 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #23937.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LSU
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Kentucky20 | L 82–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas A&M33 | L 91–94 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Auburn27 | L 74–88 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma22 | L 67–83 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Ole Miss49 | W 106–99 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
