Model line
Texas −3.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Texas 64%
Projected tempo
71.6
possessions
Site
Texas home
36%Win probability64%
The model makes Texas a 3.5-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida offense vs Texas defense
| Florida O | Stat | Texas D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #18068.4 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #14150.7 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #35213.2 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #2826.6 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #29939.8 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #2787.7 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #3646.2 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #9449.8 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #25235.1 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #34633.1 |
Texas offense vs Florida defense
| Texas O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#180 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 53.9#71 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 15.1#73 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 35.4#38 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 44.7#7 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 10.2#256 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 43.9#346 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 54.8#63 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 34.8#133 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 74.7#98 | FT% | — |
| 35.5#262 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
Texas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Purdue29 | L 77–79 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Gonzaga17 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | BYU28 | W 79–71 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | NC State54 | W 68–66 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 66–76 |
