Model line
Oklahoma −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oklahoma 76%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Oklahoma home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Oklahoma a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Kentucky offense vs Oklahoma defense
| Kentucky O | Stat | Oklahoma D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#102 | Tempo | #17768.4 |
| 53.3#90 | eFG% | #17051.2 |
| 15.0#62 | TOV% | #26715.3 |
| 33.5#78 | ORB% | #29733.0 |
| 37.4#118 | FT rate | #15134.0 |
| 8.6#111 | Block% | #12010.4 |
| 57.0#72 | Assist% | #13150.7 |
| 54.6#68 | 2P% | #15051.1 |
| 34.2#161 | 3P% | #19734.2 |
| 72.7#177 | FT% | — |
| 39.3#185 | 3PA rate | #17139.7 |
Oklahoma offense vs Kentucky defense
| Oklahoma O | Stat | Kentucky D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.4#177 | Tempo | #10269.7 |
| 55.1#38 | eFG% | #5848.8 |
| 14.4#40 | TOV% | #23615.7 |
| 33.6#76 | ORB% | #16430.1 |
| 35.9#158 | FT rate | #22036.3 |
| 10.0#239 | Block% | #2912.8 |
| 50.2#239 | Assist% | #25955.2 |
| 55.0#58 | 2P% | #7949.5 |
| 36.8#34 | 3P% | #5531.8 |
| 74.5#103 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#95 | 3PA rate | #16839.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Kentucky
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa St.6 | L 63–82 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Santa Clara86 | W 89–84 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida2 | L 63–71 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Missouri34 | W 78–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | LSU55 | W 87–82 |
Oklahoma
| Sun, Apr 5 | N | West Virginia51 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Baylor32 | W 82–69 |
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Colorado87 | W 90–86 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Arkansas23 | L 79–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 83–63 |
