Model line
Butler −22.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Butler 99%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Butler home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Butler a 22.5-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bellarmine offense vs Butler defense
| Bellarmine O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#289 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 59.4#3 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 15.5#104 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 22.4#354 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 35.0#178 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 9.1#149 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 53.4#155 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 61.0#3 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 38.1#17 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 78.8#6 | FT% | — |
| 41.2#145 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Butler offense vs Bellarmine defense
| Butler O | Stat | Bellarmine D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #28966.1 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #36559.4 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #28715.0 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #32134.2 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #15934.3 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #3435.9 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #35361.9 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #35258.1 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #36440.4 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #450.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bellarmine
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 73–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Jacksonville230 | W 82–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Austin Peay195 | W 111–97 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | North Alabama315 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Eastern Kentucky283 | L 92–95 |
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
