Model line
Butler −5.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Butler 72%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Butler home
28%Win probability72%
The model makes Butler a 5.6-point favorite, winning about 72 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pittsburgh offense vs Butler defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Butler offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Butler O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
