Model line
Butler −22.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Butler 99%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Butler home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Butler a 22.1-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Lafayette offense vs Butler defense
| Lafayette O | Stat | Butler D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.9#250 | Tempo | #9370.0 |
| 49.3#277 | eFG% | #20451.9 |
| 15.3#87 | TOV% | #27415.1 |
| 25.8#326 | ORB% | #15630.0 |
| 32.4#251 | FT rate | #624.9 |
| 10.5#273 | Block% | #2598.0 |
| 55.4#104 | Assist% | #21753.7 |
| 50.0#252 | 2P% | #24253.1 |
| 32.2#269 | 3P% | #13733.3 |
| 68.9#300 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#175 | 3PA rate | #24837.5 |
Butler offense vs Lafayette defense
| Butler O | Stat | Lafayette D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#93 | Tempo | #25066.9 |
| 50.9#197 | eFG% | #28853.6 |
| 15.9#127 | TOV% | #27915.1 |
| 34.6#56 | ORB% | #9028.6 |
| 42.1#28 | FT rate | #7530.6 |
| 11.9#337 | Block% | #3326.4 |
| 57.2#68 | Assist% | #33259.0 |
| 51.9#170 | 2P% | #25053.4 |
| 32.7#243 | 3P% | #30236.0 |
| 71.9#209 | FT% | — |
| 34.9#275 | 3PA rate | #23238.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Lafayette
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Holy Cross353 | L 77–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Army346 | W 83–77 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Colgate207 | W 70–69 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | American198 | L 61–75 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Holy Cross353 | W 86–83 |
Butler
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Providence43 | L 81–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | DePaul62 | W 81–71 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Creighton36 | L 59–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Villanova47 | L 73–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Xavier45 | W 80–75 |
