Model line
Saint Mary's −15.8
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 95%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 15.8-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
St. Thomas offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| St. Thomas O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#107 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 58.9#5 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 14.3#34 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 22.6#353 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 33.8#220 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 8.3#84 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 56.7#74 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 63.0#1 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 36.0#60 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 68.7#305 | FT% | — |
| 46.3#41 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs St. Thomas defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | St. Thomas D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #10769.7 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #13850.7 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #15717.0 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #2726.6 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #8130.7 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #2937.5 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #20052.9 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #23052.8 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #5431.7 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #12441.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
St. Thomas
| Tue, Mar 17 | A | Seattle115 | L 52–67 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | North Dakota328 | L 66–67 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | South Dakota St.237 | W 80–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Nebraska Omaha280 | W 68–53 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | North Dakota St.170 | W 84–62 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
