Model line
Merrimack −1.0
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Merrimack 54%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Neutral
46%Win probability54%
The model makes Merrimack a 1.0-point favorite, winning about 54 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Dakota St. offense vs Merrimack defense
| South Dakota St. O | Stat | Merrimack D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#203 | Tempo | #35863.8 |
| 52.0#148 | eFG% | #1746.7 |
| 16.1#148 | TOV% | #1720.4 |
| 30.3#190 | ORB% | #36539.9 |
| 29.7#319 | FT rate | #24037.1 |
| 7.8#48 | Block% | #1513.9 |
| 51.3#209 | Assist% | #29856.9 |
| 52.7#143 | 2P% | #3547.3 |
| 34.0#175 | 3P% | #1330.3 |
| 72.0#208 | FT% | — |
| 38.8#193 | 3PA rate | #35032.6 |
Merrimack offense vs South Dakota St. defense
| Merrimack O | Stat | South Dakota St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 63.8#358 | Tempo | #20367.9 |
| 49.1#287 | eFG% | #20351.8 |
| 14.8#55 | TOV% | #32214.5 |
| 24.8#343 | ORB% | #1125.1 |
| 38.2#96 | FT rate | #16334.5 |
| 13.0#355 | Block% | #3077.1 |
| 56.0#90 | Assist% | #19152.7 |
| 49.1#279 | 2P% | #21752.4 |
| 32.7#245 | 3P% | #18934.1 |
| 78.8#7 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#45 | 3PA rate | #1347.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Dakota St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | St. Thomas162 | L 67–80 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | South Dakota270 | L 70–75 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Kansas City292 | W 73–59 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Dakota328 | W 91–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | North Dakota St.170 | L 66–74 |
Merrimack
| Mon, Nov 2 | N | Appalachian St.234 | L 49–63 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Siena271 | L 54–64 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Marist257 | W 58–57 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Sacred Heart310 | W 70–48 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Niagara318 | W 73–66 |
