Model line
Ohio −8.4
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ohio 81%
Projected tempo
72.7
possessions
Site
Ohio home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Ohio a 8.4-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Arkansas St. offense vs Ohio defense
| Arkansas St. O | Stat | Ohio D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.5#15 | Tempo | #7770.4 |
| 51.7#161 | eFG% | #27053.0 |
| 19.8#343 | TOV% | #22016.1 |
| 38.2#7 | ORB% | #29132.8 |
| 39.1#79 | FT rate | #26538.2 |
| 10.2#251 | Block% | #2188.6 |
| 55.8#94 | Assist% | #6047.7 |
| 53.6#99 | 2P% | #18851.9 |
| 32.9#235 | 3P% | #34236.8 |
| 73.3#157 | FT% | — |
| 44.9#69 | 3PA rate | #34033.6 |
Ohio offense vs Arkansas St. defense
| Ohio O | Stat | Arkansas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.4#77 | Tempo | #1572.5 |
| 50.9#199 | eFG% | #11550.3 |
| 15.5#106 | TOV% | #29214.9 |
| 28.4#249 | ORB% | #3727.0 |
| 36.9#133 | FT rate | #23537.0 |
| 7.5#32 | Block% | #2967.3 |
| 46.6#309 | Assist% | #15351.4 |
| 54.5#75 | 2P% | #12750.8 |
| 30.1#341 | 3P% | #10932.9 |
| 71.0#237 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#213 | 3PA rate | #20738.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Arkansas St.
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 77–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Louisiana215 | W 81–58 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Southern Miss236 | W 89–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 102–94 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Louisiana215 | W 79–62 |
Ohio
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Kent St.126 | L 75–86 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Miami OH108 | L 108–110 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Massachusetts166 | L 82–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Toledo144 | L 67–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 74–66 |
