Model line
Massachusetts −11.4
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Massachusetts 89%
Projected tempo
72.2
possessions
Site
Massachusetts home
12%Win probability89%
The model makes Massachusetts a 11.4-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marshall offense vs Massachusetts defense
| Marshall O | Stat | Massachusetts D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.7#65 | Tempo | #4571.2 |
| 54.8#48 | eFG% | #26452.9 |
| 16.6#170 | TOV% | #16616.8 |
| 31.9#128 | ORB% | #1926.1 |
| 29.2#329 | FT rate | #34844.6 |
| 8.1#65 | Block% | #3216.7 |
| 56.5#79 | Assist% | #32958.6 |
| 54.6#69 | 2P% | #31655.4 |
| 36.8#33 | 3P% | #12033.0 |
| 73.0#168 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#84 | 3PA rate | #7842.7 |
Massachusetts offense vs Marshall defense
| Massachusetts O | Stat | Marshall D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#45 | Tempo | #6570.7 |
| 53.1#98 | eFG% | #11750.3 |
| 17.8#259 | TOV% | #20116.3 |
| 33.3#83 | ORB% | #31533.8 |
| 37.0#130 | FT rate | #31341.1 |
| 7.6#35 | Block% | #2413.1 |
| 58.4#52 | Assist% | #3146.0 |
| 53.2#121 | 2P% | #11150.3 |
| 35.2#105 | 3P% | #16133.6 |
| 67.3#339 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#264 | 3PA rate | #17739.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marshall
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Georgia Southern307 | L 78–82 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Georgia Southern307 | L 82–99 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Old Dominion218 | W 97–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Coastal Carolina240 | L 75–79 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | Appalachian St.234 | W 94–93 |
Massachusetts
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Toledo144 | L 67–77 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami OH108 | W 87–83 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Ohio167 | W 94–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bowling Green192 | L 62–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Ball St.220 | L 73–74 |
