Model line
Illinois −41.5
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois >99%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Illinois home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Illinois a 41.5-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Jackson St. offense vs Illinois defense
| Jackson St. O | Stat | Illinois D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#48 | Tempo | #28566.2 |
| 45.7#355 | eFG% | #3247.5 |
| 19.4#334 | TOV% | #36511.7 |
| 29.7#216 | ORB% | #3326.8 |
| 37.4#117 | FT rate | #119.7 |
| 12.4#345 | Block% | #3812.5 |
| 45.8#323 | Assist% | #13050.7 |
| 44.6#358 | 2P% | #4648.3 |
| 31.4#309 | 3P% | #3631.0 |
| 75.8#56 | FT% | — |
| 43.3#105 | 3PA rate | #8342.5 |
Illinois offense vs Jackson St. defense
| Illinois O | Stat | Jackson St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#285 | Tempo | #4871.1 |
| 55.3#35 | eFG% | #26853.0 |
| 13.0#6 | TOV% | #18516.5 |
| 39.2#3 | ORB% | #35937.2 |
| 32.7#245 | FT rate | #31941.9 |
| 8.4#92 | Block% | #2548.1 |
| 50.9#219 | Assist% | #34460.9 |
| 58.1#20 | 2P% | #25253.5 |
| 35.0#114 | 3P% | #23634.8 |
| 78.4#13 | FT% | — |
| 50.4#15 | 3PA rate | #16739.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Jackson St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida A&M317 | L 60–70 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Grambling St.326 | W 68–65 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Mississippi Valley St.365 | W 85–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 81–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Texas Southern333 | L 57–82 |
Illinois
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Connecticut3 | L 62–71 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Iowa41 | W 71–59 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Houston4 | W 65–55 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | VCU53 | W 76–55 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Penn123 | W 105–70 |
