Model line
Florida −3.1
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida 63%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
63%Win probability37%
The model makes Florida a 3.1-point favorite, winning about 63 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida offense vs Arizona defense
| Florida O | Stat | Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.4#16 | Tempo | #3971.3 |
| 54.1#65 | eFG% | #144.8 |
| 16.3#154 | TOV% | #17216.7 |
| 43.5#2 | ORB% | #3126.8 |
| 38.6#86 | FT rate | #2427.3 |
| 7.2#18 | Block% | #7611.2 |
| 54.5#125 | Assist% | #9949.4 |
| 58.4#17 | 2P% | #243.5 |
| 31.2#314 | 3P% | #4431.4 |
| 71.1#233 | FT% | — |
| 36.9#232 | 3PA rate | #25637.3 |
Arizona offense vs Florida defense
| Arizona O | Stat | Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#39 | Tempo | #1672.4 |
| 55.1#37 | eFG% | #1045.9 |
| 15.1#68 | TOV% | #27015.2 |
| 38.3#4 | ORB% | #724.6 |
| 43.2#18 | FT rate | #14433.8 |
| 8.4#89 | Block% | #3412.6 |
| 55.3#106 | Assist% | #1844.3 |
| 55.4#51 | 2P% | #544.6 |
| 36.3#46 | 3P% | #7132.2 |
| 73.2#161 | FT% | — |
| 26.7#363 | 3PA rate | #33633.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Iowa41 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | W 114–55 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Vanderbilt21 | L 74–91 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kentucky20 | W 71–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Kentucky20 | W 84–77 |
Arizona
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Michigan24 | L 73–91 |
| Sat, Mar 28 | N | Purdue29 | W 79–64 |
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arkansas23 | W 109–88 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Utah St.56 | W 78–66 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | LIU262 | W 92–58 |
