Model line
Arkansas −36.7
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas >99%
Projected tempo
72.3
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arkansas a 36.7-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern offense vs Arkansas defense
| Southern O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4#37 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 49.1#288 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 16.5#167 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 31.4#146 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 39.8#61 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 10.0#242 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 52.6#178 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 47.7#318 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 34.8#131 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 69.5#284 | FT% | — |
| 32.1#328 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Southern defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Southern D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #3771.4 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #27553.2 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #6818.6 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #21731.3 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #33942.9 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #11010.6 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #19652.8 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #20152.1 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #33736.7 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #25137.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Prairie View A&M301 | L 66–72 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Florida A&M317 | W 73–70 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arkansas Pine Bluff360 | W 84–81 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 88–85 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Alabama St.295 | W 71–64 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
