Model line
Michigan −33.2
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Michigan >99%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
Michigan home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Michigan a 33.2-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oakland offense vs Michigan defense
| Oakland O | Stat | Michigan D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#50 | Tempo | #4171.3 |
| 52.7#115 | eFG% | #345.2 |
| 14.7#51 | TOV% | #26515.3 |
| 31.3#152 | ORB% | #4027.1 |
| 38.1#99 | FT rate | #1526.2 |
| 11.7#332 | Block% | #316.5 |
| 54.9#118 | Assist% | #5447.3 |
| 53.0#130 | 2P% | #444.5 |
| 34.7#140 | 3P% | #3130.8 |
| 75.1#78 | FT% | — |
| 34.0#296 | 3PA rate | #9242.2 |
Michigan offense vs Oakland defense
| Michigan O | Stat | Oakland D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#41 | Tempo | #5071.1 |
| 58.7#6 | eFG% | #32254.7 |
| 16.5#165 | TOV% | #28015.1 |
| 35.0#47 | ORB% | #32434.4 |
| 37.7#109 | FT rate | #524.6 |
| 9.0#145 | Block% | #1539.8 |
| 61.1#25 | Assist% | #36266.3 |
| 61.5#2 | 2P% | #34257.0 |
| 36.6#36 | 3P% | #20434.3 |
| 74.7#94 | FT% | — |
| 41.7#140 | 3PA rate | #10541.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oakland
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Northern Kentucky217 | L 84–85 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Detroit Mercy277 | L 89–95 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | IU Indy311 | W 86–74 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 81–70 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Green Bay210 | L 68–73 |
Michigan
| Mon, Apr 6 | N | Connecticut3 | W 69–63 |
| Sat, Apr 4 | N | Arizona5 | W 91–73 |
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Tennessee11 | W 95–62 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Alabama16 | W 90–77 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 95–72 |
