Model line
Drake −9.9
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Drake 85%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Neutral
15%Win probability85%
The model makes Drake a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northern Arizona offense vs Drake defense
| Northern Arizona O | Stat | Drake D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5#316 | Tempo | #21067.8 |
| 51.7#163 | eFG% | #24452.6 |
| 16.0#141 | TOV% | #31514.6 |
| 23.3#348 | ORB% | #15329.9 |
| 31.8#260 | FT rate | #10332.0 |
| 8.9#138 | Block% | #2268.5 |
| 51.0#217 | Assist% | #24654.8 |
| 50.7#225 | 2P% | #14651.1 |
| 35.6#82 | 3P% | #32036.4 |
| 68.9#301 | FT% | — |
| 36.7#237 | 3PA rate | #5643.3 |
Drake offense vs Northern Arizona defense
| Drake O | Stat | Northern Arizona D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#210 | Tempo | #31665.5 |
| 51.4#175 | eFG% | #35656.9 |
| 15.0#59 | TOV% | #18216.6 |
| 26.6#308 | ORB% | #30533.4 |
| 33.5#222 | FT rate | #12632.7 |
| 8.6#108 | Block% | #2717.8 |
| 51.6#198 | Assist% | #11149.9 |
| 51.7#182 | 2P% | #33056.1 |
| 34.0#170 | 3P% | #36238.7 |
| 71.4#224 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#52 | 3PA rate | #16140.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northern Arizona
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Idaho St.327 | L 65–73 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Montana St.134 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Eastern Washington156 | L 57–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Idaho238 | L 58–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Northern Colorado194 | L 77–78 |
Drake
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Illinois Chicago105 | L 51–72 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Belmont130 | W 100–79 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Southern Illinois172 | W 67–63 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Northern Iowa129 | L 53–75 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Valparaiso142 | L 71–74 |
