Model line
UCF −19.7
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
UCF 98%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
UCF home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes UCF a 19.7-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Hofstra offense vs UCF defense
| Hofstra O | Stat | UCF D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#319 | Tempo | #7570.6 |
| 51.4#177 | eFG% | #22152.1 |
| 16.1#144 | TOV% | #24215.7 |
| 34.7#55 | ORB% | #9728.8 |
| 31.6#266 | FT rate | #17734.9 |
| 10.7#283 | Block% | #2578.1 |
| 48.3#278 | Assist% | #14651.0 |
| 48.1#305 | 2P% | #23752.9 |
| 37.1#25 | 3P% | #17933.9 |
| 75.8#55 | FT% | — |
| 42.8#118 | 3PA rate | #18839.4 |
UCF offense vs Hofstra defense
| UCF O | Stat | Hofstra D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#75 | Tempo | #31965.4 |
| 52.6#124 | eFG% | #1646.3 |
| 16.0#143 | TOV% | #29414.9 |
| 35.0#48 | ORB% | #20231.0 |
| 30.5#299 | FT rate | #17935.1 |
| 9.4#181 | Block% | #11810.4 |
| 53.7#144 | Assist% | #25455.0 |
| 51.7#185 | 2P% | #744.7 |
| 36.2#50 | 3P% | #7532.3 |
| 72.9#173 | FT% | — |
| 34.8#280 | 3PA rate | #12241.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Hofstra
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | St Joseph's LI | W 97–51 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Alabama16 | L 70–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Monmouth193 | W 75–69 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Towson179 | W 68–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | William & Mary201 | W 92–61 |
UCF
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | UCLA18 | L 71–75 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Arizona5 | L 59–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Cincinnati30 | W 66–65 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | West Virginia51 | L 62–77 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | L 104–111 |
