Model line
Colorado St. −22.5
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colorado St. 99%
Projected tempo
68.5
possessions
Site
Colorado St. home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Colorado St. a 22.5-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Incarnate Word offense vs Colorado St. defense
| Incarnate Word O | Stat | Colorado St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#320 | Tempo | #34664.4 |
| 50.2#227 | eFG% | #26152.9 |
| 17.2#215 | TOV% | #24915.5 |
| 32.1#121 | ORB% | #12329.3 |
| 34.0#207 | FT rate | #15534.2 |
| 9.8#222 | Block% | #3186.8 |
| 44.2#345 | Assist% | #4346.6 |
| 47.7#317 | 2P% | #28154.1 |
| 36.1#54 | 3P% | #19634.2 |
| 71.2#231 | FT% | — |
| 39.1#188 | 3PA rate | #7043.0 |
Colorado St. offense vs Incarnate Word defense
| Colorado St. O | Stat | Incarnate Word D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.4#346 | Tempo | #32065.4 |
| 57.5#12 | eFG% | #31554.5 |
| 18.5#297 | TOV% | #23515.7 |
| 30.0#198 | ORB% | #25632.0 |
| 39.4#71 | FT rate | #31841.6 |
| 9.0#142 | Block% | #3097.0 |
| 62.9#11 | Assist% | #16651.8 |
| 57.1#29 | 2P% | #32556.0 |
| 38.6#11 | 3P% | #21034.4 |
| 77.0#33 | FT% | — |
| 49.1#19 | 3PA rate | #30735.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Incarnate Word
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Stephen F. Austin139 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Lamar250 | W 72–60 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | A | Northwestern St.296 | L 49–54 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | W 82–73 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | LSU N Orleans | L 64–78 |
Colorado St.
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 64–69 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | San Diego St.73 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Fresno St.180 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Boise St.71 | L 67–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | New Mexico66 | W 82–74 |
