Model line
Buffalo −10.4
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Buffalo 86%
Projected tempo
71.4
possessions
Site
Buffalo home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes Buffalo a 10.4-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southern Miss offense vs Buffalo defense
| Southern Miss O | Stat | Buffalo D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.6#111 | Tempo | #21767.6 |
| 49.0#289 | eFG% | #33355.1 |
| 18.4#292 | TOV% | #10317.9 |
| 32.5#107 | ORB% | #20431.1 |
| 43.2#19 | FT rate | #8931.4 |
| 10.7#286 | Block% | #2358.4 |
| 43.8#347 | Assist% | #33058.8 |
| 51.3#201 | 2P% | #34156.9 |
| 28.9#356 | 3P% | #24935.1 |
| 73.6#150 | FT% | — |
| 28.7#358 | 3PA rate | #9642.0 |
Buffalo offense vs Southern Miss defense
| Buffalo O | Stat | Southern Miss D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.6#217 | Tempo | #11169.6 |
| 55.4#32 | eFG% | #18051.4 |
| 16.2#152 | TOV% | #10917.8 |
| 27.1#293 | ORB% | #9528.8 |
| 39.6#63 | FT rate | #34343.6 |
| 8.1#63 | Block% | #11510.5 |
| 54.4#128 | Assist% | #4847.0 |
| 54.1#82 | 2P% | #15151.1 |
| 37.9#19 | 3P% | #22034.5 |
| 73.6#145 | FT% | — |
| 45.5#57 | 3PA rate | #18739.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southern Miss
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Troy152 | L 70–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Appalachian St.234 | W 86–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Texas St.113 | W 81–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | James Madison143 | W 86–80 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | South Alabama244 | W 68–55 |
Buffalo
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Akron100 | L 70–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Toledo144 | L 78–99 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Eastern Michigan176 | W 72–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Central Michigan272 | L 70–75 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Akron100 | L 85–99 |
