Model line
Bowling Green −1.2
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Bowling Green 55%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Bowling Green home
45%Win probability55%
The model makes Bowling Green a 1.2-point favorite, winning about 55 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas St. offense vs Bowling Green defense
| Texas St. O | Stat | Bowling Green D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.3#232 | Tempo | #8470.2 |
| 50.0#237 | eFG% | #15651.0 |
| 18.6#307 | TOV% | #7718.4 |
| 33.9#72 | ORB% | #3526.9 |
| 34.0#210 | FT rate | #24337.2 |
| 10.1#250 | Block% | #10510.6 |
| 48.2#282 | Assist% | #16551.8 |
| 50.5#239 | 2P% | #17151.6 |
| 32.2#272 | 3P% | #15133.5 |
| 76.2#48 | FT% | — |
| 24.6#364 | 3PA rate | #11841.2 |
Bowling Green offense vs Texas St. defense
| Bowling Green O | Stat | Texas St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#84 | Tempo | #23267.3 |
| 51.8#152 | eFG% | #21652.0 |
| 16.5#162 | TOV% | #7618.5 |
| 28.7#242 | ORB% | #8528.4 |
| 37.0#129 | FT rate | #28939.1 |
| 9.8#218 | Block% | #11110.6 |
| 48.5#275 | Assist% | #1343.8 |
| 51.9#169 | 2P% | #15251.1 |
| 34.4#153 | 3P% | #29435.7 |
| 72.3#194 | FT% | — |
| 34.2#289 | 3PA rate | #25237.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Southern Miss236 | L 77–81 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Appalachian St.234 | W 60–57 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisiana215 | L 54–67 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | A | South Alabama244 | W 90–82 |
| Sat, Feb 14 | H | Louisiana Monroe341 | W 95–84 |
Bowling Green
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Toledo144 | L 76–77 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | A | Eastern Michigan176 | W 77–69 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 81–62 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Western Michigan173 | L 79–88 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Miami OH108 | L 77–91 |
