Model line
Illinois Chicago −17.1
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Illinois Chicago 96%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Illinois Chicago home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Illinois Chicago a 17.1-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Detroit Mercy offense vs Illinois Chicago defense
| Detroit Mercy O | Stat | Illinois Chicago D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#101 | Tempo | #24067.1 |
| 49.5#264 | eFG% | #12750.5 |
| 16.0#137 | TOV% | #3119.7 |
| 33.3#82 | ORB% | #25532.0 |
| 32.6#248 | FT rate | #14833.9 |
| 7.9#50 | Block% | #5711.8 |
| 48.5#276 | Assist% | #36166.0 |
| 48.1#304 | 2P% | #13050.8 |
| 35.1#106 | 3P% | #14333.4 |
| 78.9#4 | FT% | — |
| 30.7#343 | 3PA rate | #1946.4 |
Illinois Chicago offense vs Detroit Mercy defense
| Illinois Chicago O | Stat | Detroit Mercy D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#240 | Tempo | #10169.7 |
| 49.8#245 | eFG% | #22652.2 |
| 17.6#246 | TOV% | #32414.4 |
| 36.3#22 | ORB% | #19230.8 |
| 36.2#144 | FT rate | #25337.6 |
| 10.3#260 | Block% | #1659.5 |
| 53.6#149 | Assist% | #32458.3 |
| 51.0#211 | 2P% | #26753.8 |
| 31.6#300 | 3P% | #13833.3 |
| 72.5#190 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#319 | 3PA rate | #7942.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Detroit Mercy
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wright St.150 | L 63–66 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Robert Morris163 | W 70–64 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Milwaukee247 | W 84–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Oakland208 | W 95–89 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Robert Morris163 | L 62–73 |
Illinois Chicago
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | California94 | L 73–91 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Northern Iowa129 | L 69–84 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drake137 | W 72–51 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Murray St.97 | W 92–79 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Indiana St.212 | L 63–79 |
