Model line
Penn St. −18.1
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Penn St. 97%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Penn St. home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes Penn St. a 18.1-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Fairfield offense vs Penn St. defense
| Fairfield O | Stat | Penn St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.1#238 | Tempo | #22367.5 |
| 48.8#294 | eFG% | #36358.4 |
| 15.3#85 | TOV% | #11417.7 |
| 35.8#30 | ORB% | #20831.1 |
| 27.7#344 | FT rate | #2727.5 |
| 10.5#272 | Block% | #3545.2 |
| 45.2#331 | Assist% | #33860.4 |
| 48.2#302 | 2P% | #35758.6 |
| 33.2#215 | 3P% | #36338.8 |
| 70.5#254 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#263 | 3PA rate | #5543.4 |
Penn St. offense vs Fairfield defense
| Penn St. O | Stat | Fairfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.5#223 | Tempo | #23867.1 |
| 53.0#105 | eFG% | #15851.0 |
| 15.6#114 | TOV% | #16416.8 |
| 25.9#325 | ORB% | #11029.1 |
| 33.8#217 | FT rate | #7130.4 |
| 9.8#224 | Block% | #1719.4 |
| 48.3#280 | Assist% | #18552.6 |
| 55.8#46 | 2P% | #12950.8 |
| 32.4#263 | 3P% | #19834.3 |
| 75.0#83 | FT% | — |
| 38.1#214 | 3PA rate | #28735.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Fairfield
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Siena271 | L 61–76 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Saint Peter's298 | W 74–55 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Manhattan331 | W 71–60 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–69 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Siena271 | W 72–58 |
Penn St.
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Northwestern85 | L 66–76 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | A | Rutgers75 | L 62–74 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Ohio St.26 | L 62–94 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Iowa41 | W 71–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Nebraska19 | L 64–87 |
