Model line
Ball St. −7.2
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Ball St. 78%
Projected tempo
68.7
possessions
Site
Ball St. home
22%Win probability78%
The model makes Ball St. a 7.2-point favorite, winning about 78 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisiana offense vs Ball St. defense
| Louisiana O | Stat | Ball St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1#354 | Tempo | #31865.4 |
| 47.1#335 | eFG% | #24952.7 |
| 16.8#182 | TOV% | #6118.7 |
| 28.3#255 | ORB% | #19931.0 |
| 28.7#335 | FT rate | #10632.1 |
| 8.0#57 | Block% | #2468.2 |
| 45.9#318 | Assist% | #22654.1 |
| 44.8#356 | 2P% | #23953.0 |
| 33.6#191 | 3P% | #23434.8 |
| 70.4#257 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#157 | 3PA rate | #11741.2 |
Ball St. offense vs Louisiana defense
| Ball St. O | Stat | Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.4#318 | Tempo | #35464.1 |
| 47.0#336 | eFG% | #24652.6 |
| 16.2#151 | TOV% | #8418.3 |
| 27.1#292 | ORB% | #27232.3 |
| 31.6#264 | FT rate | #35245.8 |
| 10.9#294 | Block% | #9710.8 |
| 53.6#145 | Assist% | #10449.7 |
| 47.0#331 | 2P% | #20852.2 |
| 31.4#308 | 3P% | #28935.6 |
| 71.0#235 | FT% | — |
| 39.4#183 | 3PA rate | #28136.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisiana
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | James Madison143 | L 72–87 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | N | Georgia St.205 | W 84–75 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | A | Arkansas St.186 | L 58–81 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | A | Troy152 | L 59–78 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Texas St.113 | W 67–54 |
Ball St.
| Fri, Mar 6 | H | Central Michigan272 | W 85–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Western Michigan173 | W 74–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Northern Illinois278 | W 79–43 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Massachusetts166 | W 74–73 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | H | Akron100 | L 65–78 |
