Model line
Colorado −10.8
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Colorado 87%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Colorado home
13%Win probability87%
The model makes Colorado a 10.8-point favorite, winning about 87 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Montana St. offense vs Colorado defense
| Montana St. O | Stat | Colorado D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#228 | Tempo | #9070.1 |
| 53.6#81 | eFG% | #26052.9 |
| 14.7#49 | TOV% | #25815.4 |
| 27.0#296 | ORB% | #14829.8 |
| 30.2#305 | FT rate | #21836.3 |
| 7.5#31 | Block% | #2068.8 |
| 39.9#363 | Assist% | #14451.0 |
| 53.1#126 | 2P% | #17251.6 |
| 36.1#56 | 3P% | #33936.8 |
| 74.0#135 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#75 | 3PA rate | #29435.8 |
Colorado offense vs Montana St. defense
| Colorado O | Stat | Montana St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#90 | Tempo | #22867.4 |
| 53.2#92 | eFG% | #19551.7 |
| 14.5#41 | TOV% | #23815.7 |
| 29.0#236 | ORB% | #7528.2 |
| 35.8#161 | FT rate | #5129.6 |
| 8.8#133 | Block% | #3007.3 |
| 55.7#95 | Assist% | #1243.2 |
| 53.3#115 | 2P% | #18451.8 |
| 35.3#98 | 3P% | #20134.3 |
| 75.7#60 | FT% | — |
| 35.1#273 | 3PA rate | #33134.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Montana St.
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Idaho238 | L 74–78 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Northern Arizona308 | W 76–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Sacramento St.174 | W 82–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Portland St.209 | W 84–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Idaho St.327 | L 76–91 |
Colorado
| Wed, Apr 1 | N | Oklahoma22 | L 86–90 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Oklahoma St.52 | L 83–92 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Arizona5 | L 79–89 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Utah88 | W 92–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Houston4 | L 62–102 |
