Model line
Cincinnati −27.9
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Cincinnati >99%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Cincinnati home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Cincinnati a 27.9-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Western Carolina offense vs Cincinnati defense
| Western Carolina O | Stat | Cincinnati D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#162 | Tempo | #13069.2 |
| 50.4#225 | eFG% | #2647.3 |
| 16.8#189 | TOV% | #8818.2 |
| 35.4#39 | ORB% | #4527.3 |
| 31.3#275 | FT rate | #5830.0 |
| 7.7#46 | Block% | #4712.1 |
| 44.3#344 | Assist% | #23954.5 |
| 50.6#232 | 2P% | #4147.9 |
| 33.5#197 | 3P% | #3531.0 |
| 71.4#228 | FT% | — |
| 40.9#149 | 3PA rate | #16439.9 |
Cincinnati offense vs Western Carolina defense
| Cincinnati O | Stat | Western Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#130 | Tempo | #16268.8 |
| 50.5#213 | eFG% | #32854.9 |
| 17.0#198 | TOV% | #32314.5 |
| 30.6#176 | ORB% | #2326.3 |
| 29.4#323 | FT rate | #25737.8 |
| 6.8#15 | Block% | #3047.3 |
| 63.7#10 | Assist% | #7048.1 |
| 50.2#248 | 2P% | #30754.8 |
| 33.9#179 | 3P% | #33836.7 |
| 68.1#321 | FT% | — |
| 43.8#94 | 3PA rate | #5143.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Western Carolina
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | East Tennessee St.175 | L 67–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Mercer227 | W 77–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Furman147 | W 86–67 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Mercer227 | W 78–74 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | VMI344 | W 81–62 |
Cincinnati
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | UCF58 | L 65–66 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Utah88 | W 73–66 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | TCU50 | L 63–73 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | BYU28 | W 90–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oklahoma St.52 | W 91–68 |
