Model line
BYU −1.4
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
BYU 56%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Neutral
44%Win probability56%
The model makes BYU a 1.4-point favorite, winning about 56 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Villanova offense vs BYU defense
| Villanova O | Stat | BYU D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#276 | Tempo | #7970.3 |
| 53.8#76 | eFG% | #16651.2 |
| 15.0#67 | TOV% | #19016.4 |
| 32.2#119 | ORB% | #13729.6 |
| 30.9#284 | FT rate | #4228.9 |
| 7.3#23 | Block% | #5611.8 |
| 56.8#73 | Assist% | #22354.0 |
| 54.0#87 | 2P% | #10350.1 |
| 35.7#78 | 3P% | #26335.3 |
| 68.9#303 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#54 | 3PA rate | #19539.0 |
BYU offense vs Villanova defense
| BYU O | Stat | Villanova D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#79 | Tempo | #27666.5 |
| 54.4#55 | eFG% | #18151.4 |
| 15.2#75 | TOV% | #6918.6 |
| 34.3#61 | ORB% | #25031.8 |
| 34.4#198 | FT rate | #5930.0 |
| 8.1#62 | Block% | #3475.9 |
| 45.0#334 | Assist% | #23354.2 |
| 56.2#41 | 2P% | #21152.2 |
| 34.5#146 | 3P% | #14933.4 |
| 74.7#91 | FT% | — |
| 39.8#172 | 3PA rate | #27036.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Villanova
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Notre Dame72 | L 72–74 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Utah St.56 | L 76–86 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Georgetown65 | L 64–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Xavier45 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | DePaul62 | W 76–57 |
BYU
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas10 | L 71–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Houston4 | L 66–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | West Virginia51 | W 68–48 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Kansas St.96 | W 105–91 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Texas Tech12 | W 82–76 |
