Model line
Wake Forest −16.9
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wake Forest 96%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Wake Forest home
4%Win probability96%
The model makes Wake Forest a 16.9-point favorite, winning about 96 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
American offense vs Wake Forest defense
| American O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#254 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 51.5#170 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 15.6#109 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 26.9#299 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 28.7#334 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 10.0#234 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 49.5#254 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 53.3#113 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 33.0#226 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 75.8#54 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#37 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Wake Forest offense vs American defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | American D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #25466.7 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #31054.4 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #4019.2 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #12629.4 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #32342.1 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #3624.4 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #21653.7 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #31155.1 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #27735.5 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #25837.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
American
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Boston University309 | L 73–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Boston University309 | L 65–68 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Lehigh265 | L 73–78 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Lafayette332 | W 75–61 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Bucknell335 | W 75–57 |
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
