Model line
SMU −18.3
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 97%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
SMU home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes SMU a 18.3-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Tarleton St. offense vs SMU defense
| Tarleton St. O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.2#87 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 48.3#307 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 20.0#348 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 31.5#143 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 41.9#33 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 9.6#203 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 41.7#355 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 48.2#303 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 32.5#257 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 74.2#121 | FT% | — |
| 24.2#365 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Tarleton St. defense
| SMU O | Stat | Tarleton St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #8770.2 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #29053.6 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #323.4 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #34035.1 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #35947.7 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #1599.7 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #26955.5 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #29354.4 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #24234.9 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #13840.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Tarleton St.
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Abilene Christian242 | L 78–84 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 60–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 67–82 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 72–79 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Utah Tech254 | L 72–80 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
