Model line
Louisville −38.6
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville >99%
Projected tempo
72.0
possessions
Site
Louisville home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Louisville a 38.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
South Carolina St. offense vs Louisville defense
| South Carolina St. O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.3#82 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 46.8#341 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 20.8#356 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 31.4#145 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 41.1#48 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 9.6#202 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 52.6#177 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 44.8#357 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 34.0#174 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 66.8#345 | FT% | — |
| 33.3#311 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Louisville offense vs South Carolina St. defense
| Louisville O | Stat | South Carolina St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #8270.3 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #29753.9 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #5818.8 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #36237.6 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #36451.9 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #7511.3 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #31657.9 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #33656.3 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #15633.5 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #20538.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
South Carolina St.
| Mon, Nov 2 | H | Morris | W 94–55 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Howard164 | L 61–78 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Norfolk St.297 | W 88–82 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | North Carolina Central357 | W 80–64 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Delaware St.361 | W 61–59 |
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
