Model line
California −20.0
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 98%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
California home
2%Win probability98%
The model makes California a 20.0-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Cal St. Bakersfield offense vs California defense
| Cal St. Bakersfield O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.6#14 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 45.7#352 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 18.9#315 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 30.4#183 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 42.2#27 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 9.1#150 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 44.6#339 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 46.6#336 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 29.0#353 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 73.8#140 | FT% | — |
| 28.9#356 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Cal St. Bakersfield defense
| California O | Stat | Cal St. Bakersfield D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #1472.6 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #29954.0 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #10417.9 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #34835.6 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #33142.6 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #1913.6 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #23154.2 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #27353.9 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #30036.0 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #19739.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Cal St. Bakersfield
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Cal Poly159 | L 76–108 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | L 84–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Long Beach St.264 | L 87–88 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC San Diego102 | L 72–84 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Cal St. Fullerton213 | L 80–88 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
