Model line
Dayton −30.4
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Dayton >99%
Projected tempo
69.3
possessions
Site
Dayton home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Dayton a 30.4-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Canisius offense vs Dayton defense
| Canisius O | Stat | Dayton D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.3#349 | Tempo | #21267.7 |
| 46.3#348 | eFG% | #14450.8 |
| 19.6#340 | TOV% | #1120.9 |
| 29.3#224 | ORB% | #12029.2 |
| 31.4#270 | FT rate | #18835.3 |
| 9.7#206 | Block% | #5012.0 |
| 55.4#103 | Assist% | #12750.6 |
| 44.0#359 | 2P% | #7049.3 |
| 33.3#207 | 3P% | #27035.4 |
| 71.9#210 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#181 | 3PA rate | #13040.9 |
Dayton offense vs Canisius defense
| Dayton O | Stat | Canisius D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.7#212 | Tempo | #34964.3 |
| 52.2#135 | eFG% | #22452.2 |
| 17.1#207 | TOV% | #22316.0 |
| 26.9#301 | ORB% | #14729.8 |
| 46.7#1 | FT rate | #18335.2 |
| 11.5#327 | Block% | #2258.5 |
| 59.4#39 | Assist% | #29356.5 |
| 52.4#151 | 2P% | #28554.3 |
| 34.5#149 | 3P% | #11833.0 |
| 75.4#68 | FT% | — |
| 41.5#141 | 3PA rate | #4544.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Canisius
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Quinnipiac249 | L 63–67 |
| Fri, Feb 27 | H | Merrimack211 | W 67–62 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | A | Mount St. Mary's299 | L 47–68 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Rider355 | W 72–66 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | H | Manhattan331 | L 65–69 |
Dayton
| Wed, Mar 25 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 55–61 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | A | UNC Wilmington107 | W 80–61 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | A | Bradley183 | W 80–66 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | VCU53 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Saint Louis60 | W 70–69 |
