Model line
Xavier −30.8
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Xavier >99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Xavier home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Xavier a 30.8-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Marist offense vs Xavier defense
| Marist O | Stat | Xavier D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#269 | Tempo | #4671.2 |
| 49.3#278 | eFG% | #30254.1 |
| 16.9#193 | TOV% | #25615.5 |
| 29.1#232 | ORB% | #13629.5 |
| 25.7#360 | FT rate | #12232.6 |
| 8.3#77 | Block% | #12610.3 |
| 58.9#44 | Assist% | #35963.3 |
| 49.8#261 | 2P% | #31555.3 |
| 32.2#271 | 3P% | #23834.8 |
| 78.1#15 | FT% | — |
| 34.6#283 | 3PA rate | #26536.9 |
Xavier offense vs Marist defense
| Xavier O | Stat | Marist D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.2#46 | Tempo | #26966.5 |
| 51.8#160 | eFG% | #645.6 |
| 13.9#21 | TOV% | #3519.5 |
| 26.5#310 | ORB% | #8328.3 |
| 28.1#341 | FT rate | #25437.6 |
| 10.2#259 | Block% | #1999.0 |
| 62.2#16 | Assist% | #3846.3 |
| 49.8#264 | 2P% | #2947.1 |
| 36.5#41 | 3P% | #228.6 |
| 72.9#176 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#154 | 3PA rate | #26936.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Marist
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Merrimack211 | L 57–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Quinnipiac249 | W 77–75 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | H | Saint Peter's298 | L 56–63 |
| Sun, Feb 22 | H | Sacred Heart310 | W 65–63 |
| Fri, Feb 20 | A | Manhattan331 | W 84–70 |
Xavier
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Connecticut3 | L 68–93 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Marquette31 | W 89–87 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Villanova47 | L 78–91 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Seton Hall69 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Georgetown65 | W 91–84 |
