Model line
Notre Dame −23.3
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 99%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Notre Dame a 23.3-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
LIU offense vs Notre Dame defense
| LIU O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.2#192 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 52.8#109 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 18.9#317 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 33.9#70 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 34.0#208 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 8.6#112 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 50.2#237 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 52.4#153 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 35.8#67 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 66.7#346 | FT% | — |
| 29.3#354 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs LIU defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | LIU D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #19268.2 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #9750.0 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #5618.8 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #29633.0 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #17034.7 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #1613.8 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #9149.2 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #13350.9 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #7232.2 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #34732.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
LIU
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Arizona5 | L 58–92 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | H | Mercyhurst294 | W 79–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Wagner338 | W 64–56 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Chicago St.347 | W 79–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson345 | W 74–60 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
