Model line
Alabama −38.3
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Alabama >99%
Projected tempo
72.9
possessions
Site
Alabama home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Alabama a 38.3-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Dakota offense vs Alabama defense
| North Dakota O | Stat | Alabama D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2#134 | Tempo | #574.5 |
| 49.4#272 | eFG% | #7349.2 |
| 14.1#26 | TOV% | #35812.8 |
| 27.4#286 | ORB% | #28832.7 |
| 37.8#108 | FT rate | #10231.9 |
| 8.3#79 | Block% | #6811.4 |
| 42.4#352 | Assist% | #4246.6 |
| 49.7#267 | 2P% | #4548.3 |
| 32.7#247 | 3P% | #17233.9 |
| 69.5#282 | FT% | — |
| 40.6#153 | 3PA rate | #31735.0 |
Alabama offense vs North Dakota defense
| Alabama O | Stat | North Dakota D |
|---|---|---|
| 74.5#5 | Tempo | #13469.2 |
| 55.4#31 | eFG% | #35356.5 |
| 13.1#9 | TOV% | #3719.4 |
| 32.2#115 | ORB% | #27732.4 |
| 36.9#131 | FT rate | #34443.8 |
| 12.0#340 | Block% | #2707.8 |
| 53.4#153 | Assist% | #33158.8 |
| 57.5#25 | 2P% | #34657.2 |
| 35.7#72 | 3P% | #34537.1 |
| 76.5#41 | FT% | — |
| 53.7#1 | 3PA rate | #7442.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Dakota
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | North Dakota St.170 | L 62–70 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | St. Thomas162 | W 67–66 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Denver243 | W 83–67 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Dakota St.170 | L 63–96 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | South Dakota St.237 | L 83–91 |
Alabama
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | Michigan24 | L 77–90 |
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Texas Tech12 | W 90–65 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Hofstra148 | W 90–70 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Ole Miss49 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Auburn27 | W 96–84 |
