Model line
Belmont −15.2
2025–26 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Belmont 95%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Belmont home
6%Win probability95%
The model makes Belmont a 15.2-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Air Force offense vs Belmont defense
| Air Force O | Stat | Belmont D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.4#226 | Tempo | #9270.0 |
| 48.9#290 | eFG% | #9249.9 |
| 21.9#361 | TOV% | #12317.4 |
| 21.4#360 | ORB% | #11929.2 |
| 35.1#173 | FT rate | #7830.7 |
| 11.9#336 | Block% | #7111.3 |
| 55.9#92 | Assist% | #23854.5 |
| 51.1#208 | 2P% | #4948.5 |
| 30.6#328 | 3P% | #19434.2 |
| 64.1#364 | FT% | — |
| 41.8#138 | 3PA rate | #649.1 |
Belmont offense vs Air Force defense
| Belmont O | Stat | Air Force D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.0#92 | Tempo | #22667.4 |
| 61.0#1 | eFG% | #35056.4 |
| 18.1#273 | TOV% | #27315.1 |
| 28.8#237 | ORB% | #21331.3 |
| 32.5#249 | FT rate | #22736.6 |
| 9.4#172 | Block% | #3166.8 |
| 61.9#18 | Assist% | #23054.2 |
| 60.6#5 | 2P% | #33356.3 |
| 41.0#1 | 3P% | #35037.6 |
| 68.6#307 | FT% | — |
| 45.7#51 | 3PA rate | #20638.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Air Force
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Nevada77 | L 45–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Nevada77 | L 59–74 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Grand Canyon42 | L 60–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wyoming117 | L 62–66 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | San Jose St.161 | L 80–86 |
Belmont
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Drake137 | L 79–100 |
| Sun, Mar 1 | A | Illinois St.116 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Evansville273 | W 98–64 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Indiana St.212 | W 87–70 |
| Sun, Feb 15 | A | Murray St.97 | W 87–70 |
